MadBadDangerous (@madbaddangerous)

Melbourne, Australia

The below is an off-site archive of all tweets posted by @madbaddangerous ever

July 2016

@BillWaters7 @rockford92584 @scottlincicome @DanaPerino @dikenson As @mattwridley argues, lack of trade likely did for Tasmanian aborignls.

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@BillWaters7 @rockford92584 @scottlincicome @DanaPerino @dikenson Nope! AU aboriginals traded flints, pigments over ‘00s kms millennia ago.

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RT @dikenson: Ok, just for kicks, what’s @clydeprestowitz warning re trade w Asia this time, LOL? https://t.co/XBUXj7Fmwp Bilateral deficit…

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Kevin Rudd is unsuited to a senior role (anywhere). But Turnbull comes off badly; demonstrates he is a weather-vane::https://t.co/rAMzzxUbl8

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Unlike gains from trade, fiscal prudence is easy to explain. But AU govts fail anyway: “…debt control worst in G20”::https://t.co/ZepmAv1UeN

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Forests of stalled windmills on the Deccan plateau: bet Indians wish someone had halted those subsidies, too. https://t.co/57MvmGcPjB

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If the US anoints Clinton, S Lael Brainard wd. be a top USTR; her papers on trade theory are on my class lists. https://t.co/3n7dCy7IUd

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@drdrang My unreliable solution for sparse tables when copying fm. PDF to CSV (sed+tr)::https://t.co/zfGAoc5TeO

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Australians pay 2x over to deliver $7.5bn in annual “industry assistance“ mostly to manufacturing. Very dumb::https://t.co/aCSlFr14UT

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Speculation: with right prodn. technologies MNEs cd. replace all intra-idy. horiz. x-border goods trade w/ services. https://t.co/9u6HaDmFPM

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1. Tow Brunei inside the 9-Dash Line
2. Extend “One Belt, One Road” to London
3. Customs Union with JPN, TWN, KOR https://t.co/AT6PAduhys

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Mfg management as TFP boosting tech. AU mfg. rates highly: thanks to MNEs? (h/t @tylercowen):https://t.co/EfFN2Rfm5z https://t.co/lcUQ8ENltM

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Great! But the graphics (and tables)… Yuk! Imprecise, schlock-y::https://t.co/yQ919D4X8x https://t.co/MvA8ehzyDx https://t.co/RHXc60Wokr

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But in the Big Rock Candy Mountain everyone can have a Massive Trade Deficit! (Life’s a banana lounge with MTDs!):https://t.co/krDZT9LF2F

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Mark Thirlwell (AUSTRADE) has a good summary of the potenial impact of #Brexit on AU - more pessimistic than mine::https://t.co/onif8zJ2em

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One new post on Brexit (https://t.co/D3BrQUMh6b) and a draft from a year ago on trade blocs and WTO now published (https://t.co/cq8TQPmIAp)

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RT @SimonEvenett: What matters more 4 UK living standards? Openness+level playing field at home or trade deals abroad? My take https://t.co…

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@SimonEvenett One reason: FTAs are most effective as signalling abt own future policy directions. Put a couple of banners in place, soon.

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Excellent advice for managing a big challenge. I’m a bit more optimistic abt CHN. KOR wd also be high on my list. https://t.co/jEYrsBhmly

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“The Softbank-ARM deal is a reminder that … Britain is still an attractive destination for global capital”::https://t.co/JmoDECiaw6

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@SimonEvenett @research_trade Guess I’m out of date. Was it not CTS/IDB at one stage? Sure that’s what Friedrich told me (also in docs).

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@TradeNewsCentre @SimonEvenett “Applied” duties may be lower b/c of preferences or other reasons e.g. by-law (they often are lower).

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@TradeNewsCentre Seems to be just the math of “TPP module”. In the MacMap database “MFN” <- WTO-IDB/CTS & “Applied” <- customs pubs.

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That’s NOT what MacMap data shows. “Applied” ≠ (“MFN” minus preferences). These are data from different sources. https://t.co/wh3fzrpuBN

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Doesn’t seem to me likely to duplicate. Not like, e.g., #TPP & AUSFTA. But suppose it were, so what? https://t.co/tmtNYyC68M

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This is the heart of the matter. All IP is created by govt for social good and may be restricted for same reason. https://t.co/DVoUZCundC

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@StephenJacobi @snlester I’m optimistic. A big break likit sometimes lifts trade+investmt energy; hard choices are, briefly, easier.

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@snlester has great suggestions for UK trade agreements program. Keep it simple, move quickly, be bold::https://t.co/UBGbADIz6Q

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AU Stats Bureau hides import data on 2728 items b/c someone asked!! Guns, steel, laptops, coffee-extract(!), nuts…::https://t.co/isQqAROsTY

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Some data on roots, scale of racial killings in USA from @HenryErgas [https://t.co/j54p7QScNd] & @m_sendhil NYT [https://t.co/7PLEg57FEa]

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“Why the E.U. Had It Coming… This decades-old spell is set to break.” Disillusion beyond the UK::https://t.co/hbU008npF6

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For Howard in AU too it was/is about the alliance. Was 2004 AUSFTA his reward for joining this unnecessary disaster? https://t.co/YvemgxOqdM

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SimonEvenett So trade ministers note “worrying” rise in . They should know. g20 responsible for 81% of protectionism worldwide in 2015

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RT @JordanEliseo: The Reaction to Brexit Is the Reason Brexit Happened | Rolling Stone https://t.co/rQNoi4bW9B

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… also, a teriffic banner photo::https://t.co/JTVxnJ2Nfx

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“Virtue signalling is the epitome of the new faux-compassionate, egocentric left.” Agree or not it’s great polemic::https://t.co/JTVxnJko75

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“What I found most inspiring… is [#Leaver’s] sense of optimism and appetite for change”::https://t.co/V4fl7sCbzf

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“The WTOI is not intended as a short-term forecast” Disingenuous? #WTO must know that’s how the “dial” will be read::https://t.co/H4ia0IHSgK

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Uh-huh! “…end-point bias inherent in smoothing algorithms…data points may occasionally be subject to strong revisions in subsequent months.”

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Hmm…“Indices of the [WTO Trade Outlook] are …seasonally adjusted, smoothed, de-trended and amplitude adjusted” https://t.co/RCrtqTA9u0

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Oops! “gagner” (Blast this iOS idiotic predictive text! I’d really prefer to make my own spelling errors!)

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“…Vous allez gangner un bon voisin!” Well said. https://t.co/hTgDNd2Pg1

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Thanks @SincDavidson for relaying the abusive term “reg monkeys”; one to treasure (do read the Borjas link)::https://t.co/4h6602FnyH

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OTOH, here is @SimonEvenett arguing (2013) the the UK did better out of EU FTAs than it would on its own::https://t.co/tV7uLBd84E

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Still trade agreements are oversized, overrated, chiefly for. pol gestures. Don’t create trade; most have small, declining impact on growth.

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UK does not lack ‘negotiators’. I’ve trained hundreds of trade negotiators; most are middle level civil servants in any central govt agency.

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gives UK options for deals w/ rest of world (60% of exports now) that are near impossible w/ EU28 (see , )

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Idea UK might lack trade agreements post #Brexit started w/ Obama’s rudeness (‘back of queue’); gets too much cred::https://t.co/6ocaCMpKlO

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A pretty good piece (brief, back-links) on #CETA’s ‘mixed’ status. Not entirely a #Brexit reaction::https://t.co/7wC45YVz1D

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RT @CoppetainPU: As I understand it, it’s a “MIxed agreement” where competence is shared between Commission and Member States/Council https…

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@SimonEvenett HI Simon: can’t seem to get this BBC audio outside UK. Is your 2103 paper available?

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Is the slump in stocks of (3) UK companies a warning for GBR or EU post #Brexit? https://t.co/Vi9qbFhT2i

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🇺🇸Thomas Jefferson 🇺🇸 @ GitHub: “Weeding out some of my verboseness (which, although lovely, is a bit superfluous)”::https://t.co/rsB33JdBSD

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Have leaders disappointed? Have they prepared less, behaved worse than ’s leaders? Seen from abroad it looks like a toss-up.

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Most cited guess about UK gains from EU memsh’p (https://t.co/rxBKcK6SYm) is really about counterfactual case based on experience of ARG+NZ

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Or maybe not “…but we haven’t got the slightest idea how long talks between Britain & EU will take, or the result.” https://t.co/U9BcYz4oxv

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RT @jamieamartin1: Me for @CityAM : Britain can look forward with definite optimism to post EU future https://t.co/ozamIMORe0 #EUreferendum

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RT @RossCameron4: UK’s George Osborne ready to slash company tax to 15% to “build super-competitive economy” | https://t.co/9hnIkOwva8 http…

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RT @DanielJHannan: Extraordinary. Schäuble admits he only threatened to exclude us from the market because George Osborne asked him to. htt…

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