MadBadDangerous (@madbaddangerous)

Melbourne, Australia

The below is an off-site archive of all tweets posted by @madbaddangerous ever

November 2016

Dinner at my desk listening to the Melbourne Ring (Das Reingold) on @ABC. Following the fabulous Rudolph Sabor translation (@Phaidon).

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“Under-reported births at the local level seem to explain why the [CHN ] marriage squeeze may [be exaggerated]”::news.ku.edu/2016/11/22/stu…

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A big disruptor if it works “…factoring large numbers into primes may not be as difficult as currently thought”phys.org/news/2016-11-q…lL

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[Per-cap GDP in] “Cuba and Hong Kong were identical in the 1950s. But the two nations then conducted an experiment”::danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2016/11/26/pra…

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@alanbeattie Still, they’re (he’s) great with villains. Tommy Lascelles steals every scene…

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… and even, you know, HRM. Power disappoints; constitutional power disssapoints gravely. (But hey, lots of luverlytwitter.com/i/web/status/8…94tt

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If the second tiret is not the most idiotic statement in the NYT, then it is certainly the most prominent. pic.twitter.com/EnUnW7KdMw

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CatoTrade Selection of DiMicco & Lighthizer is awful news. Neither has met a tariff he didn’t like or a trade agreement he di..twitter.com/i/web/status/8…rb

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stillborn? Obama’s “pivot” against CHN proves to be a pirouette? Figures. Trade agreements are mostly about home mkt not for. policy.

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Using threats to CHN FDI to ‘change CHN’ is madness. Will hurt US, AU more than CHN trade barriers. God save us fro..twitter.com/i/web/status/8…7o

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Precisely! “What makes computers great is their malleability through software…” leancrew.com/all-this/2016/…J0c0

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Trump’s impossible triad: he says he can cut taxes, boost spending and reduce trade deficits (rescue mfg). Nope::marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu…

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Crises in US (& global) balances in the past century were due not to trade or demand but to government mismanagement:theaustralian.com.au/opinion/column…

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Speaking (softly) of overlords “…Don’t mess with companies that you store your entire digital life with.”arstechnica.com/gadgets/2016/1…K6

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gaucheries, blunders, abuse as political innovation (delayed and disruptive)::overcomingbias.com/2016/11/trump-…

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Will doom the EU: “the most elitist, anti-democratic project in recent history”? Nah! Make it squirm, maybe::theaustralian.com.au/business/opini…

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Surprising (but it shouldn’t be!) fact: almost all benefits + none of the costs can be had without TPP at all::brookings.edu/blog/order-fro…

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Evidence US workers in ’70s-’80s had flat/falling lifetime incomes. Later cohorts did no better (H/T @tylercowen)::scholar.princeton.edu/jweidner/resea…

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research_trade @pwgallagher But India has FTAs with 14 countries on that diagram.

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Graphic shows only SIN & VNM have fully hedged their trade bets (altho AU plans to do the same). IND least linked;..twitter.com/i/web/status/7…fD

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In 2000, found (DS152) unilateral action under S301 wd violate the WTO disputes treaty. Trump wd buy a global fight he doesn’t want.

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@HenryErgas argues (theaustralian.com.au/opinion/column…) S301 is Trump’s weapon against trade ‘enemies’, but that cannon is cracked & will blow up…

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dikenson I am less bearish about the direction of President Trump’s trade policy than I probably should be. But here’s why: bit.ly/2ePyEv2

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Friends, pls get over this “CHN has won” stuff. CHN a huge economy, key partner. Still not a global power. a stew of regn’l interests.

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ABC (AU) radio asked me should AU “free traders” learn from Trump victory. Mmm… Too late! We have near zero avg duties now eg CHN FTA.

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@SimonEvenett Yes. I agree that is the key point (not well expressed). If “elites’” reputation is deserved, they had better get on to it.

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SincDavidson What if Elite Experts are Wrong About What They Supposedly are Experts About? coordinationproblem.org/2016/11/what-i…

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“Trump~Brexit” analogy is not very convincing. Except each is a popular (USA: strong) rejection of the entire political establishment.

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@tylercowen projects Trump policies from his business behaviour (bloomberg.com/view/articles/…) but @gregmankiwblog shows why this is likely wrong

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tylercowen Maybe Trump University will succeed in teaching a few Keynesians that an increase in gdp is not the same as a boost in social utility.

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Of course it’s worrying that governments are screwing up valuable economic integration… But it’s not just Trumptheaustralian.com.au/business/opini…jW

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veroderugy Donald Trump Won but What’s Next? bit.ly/2ekZtJ7

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StockCats the sad thing is that the media is going to to ask the same people that got everything completely wrong what they think happens now

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America is “on a precipice” wail NYT editors. The actions of the candidates and President so far demonstrate that is, of course, just crap.

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Or not. “What’s amazing is how many times the news media has missed populist movements that have been rocking…” nytimes.com/2016/11/09/bus…6fht

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timleunig Worth celebrating. twitter.com/HistoricalPics…

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Economic policy? Trade? So you’re pessimistic about Trump. But did you think Obama was making it work? Did you expect better from Clinton?

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Though risky, this could be renewal. Trump appealed strongly to the dissatisifed; Clinton to those who hoped they’d get more of the same.

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The @ozprodcom shouldn’t need 12 months. Gary Banks’ “To Do List” (pc.gov.au/news-media/spe…) is still the right call::theaustralian.com.au/national-affai…

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“Machine learning is like money laundering for bias…” – The always interesting, provocative Maciej Cegłowidlewords.com/talks/sase_pan…YhDq

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Great roundup: concise, documented, sane. @B_Eichengreen on whether globalization’s “over” yet tinyurl.com/jcf7dwp

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